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2025 年 11 月 20 日 星期四 · 数据截至 arXiv / ADS 最新收录日
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优先级 20 · 中子星 · NICER · X射线定时

An Investigation of Systematic Effects from Background Priors on PSR J0740+6620 Radius Estimates Using Synthetic NICER and XMM-Newton Data

Holt, Isiah M., Miller, M. Coleman, Dittmann, Alexander J., et al.

原文摘要Abstract

Accurate and precise measurements of neutron star radii provide invaluable information about the cold, dense matter in neutron star cores. Analyses of synthetic X-ray pulse waveform data for nonaccreting neutron stars of the type collected by the Neutron Star Interior Composition Explorer (NICER) have indicated that the mass and radius estimates extracted therefrom are robust against potential sources of systematic error, such as errors in the assumed pattern of the thermal X-ray emission from the surface of these stars. A potentially important but unexplored source of systematic error is misparameterization of unmodulated background components, which might bias the inferred radius, particularly when data from different telescopes are analyzed. In this study, we investigate the effects of the background model on radius estimates by jointly analyzing synthetic NICER and XMM-Newton data, using the ∼2.1 M<SUB>⊙</SUB> pulsar PSR J0740+6620 as a prototypical example. Our analysis shows that even if the background assumed in the model underestimates the actual background by a factor of more than 5, the resulting shift of the radius posterior from the true value of the radius corresponds to only ∼1σ. In all the cases we examined, the Bayesian evidence for the correct background model is greater than for the incorrect background model. These results add to the evidence that analyses of NICER-like data provide accurate measurements of radii when the statistical sampling is thorough and the model fits the data well.

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使用合成NICER和XMM-Newton数据研究背景先验对PSR J0740+6620半径估计的系统效应 · 通过联合分析合成NICER和XMM-Newton数据,发现背景模型误设即使低估实际背景5倍以上,对中子星半径估计的偏差也仅约1σ,且正确背景模型具有更高的贝叶斯证据。

预印本 2025-11-20 · 接收 2026-07-09 · 刊出 2026-08-11 · 收录 2026-08-20