Interpretable Analytic Formulae for GWTC-4 Binary Black Hole Population Properties via Symbolic Regression
通过符号回归获得 GWTC-4 双黑洞族群性质的可解释解析公式
Recent LIGO─Virgo─KAGRA analyses have revealed complex structure in the binary black hole population, including distinct features in the primary mass spectrum and nontrivial spin─mass correlations. However, phenomenological models used to capture these features often lack analytic transparency, making it difficult to isolate robust physical laws from modeling artifacts. To address this, symbolic regression is applied to posterior predictive samples from the GWTC-4 catalog, producing ensembles of closed-form surrogate expressions for four population relationships: (i) the merger-rate evolution with redshift, <inline-formula> <mml:math><mml:mi>R</mml:mi></mml:math> </inline-formula>(z); (ii) the mass-ratio dependence of the effective-spin distribution, χ<SUB>eff</SUB>(q); (iii) the redshift evolution of the effective-spin distribution, χ<SUB>eff</SUB>(z); and (iv) the conditional mass-ratio distributions associated with the 10 and 35 M<SUB>⊙</SUB> primary mass peaks. This framework compresses both rigid and highly flexible models into differentiable phenomenological laws, recovering a low-redshift merger rate slope of <inline-formula> <mml:math><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>γ</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>3.1</mml:mn><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mn>8</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.87</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.83</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:math> </inline-formula> without assuming an a priori power-law form. The exact analytic derivatives indicate that the q─χeff and z─χ<SUB>eff</SUB> correlations are driven more by broadening of the posterior widths than by shifts in the mean, with redshift broadening of <inline-formula> <mml:math><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>σ</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>χ</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>eff</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:math> </inline-formula> being the most securely recovered feature. Furthermore, distinct functional forms for the mass-ratio distributions conditioned on the 10 and 35 M<SUB>⊙</SUB> primary mass peaks are identified. These expressions enable exact analytic gradient diagnostics and compact surrogate summaries, particularly for flexible numerical posteriors not otherwise available in low-dimensional analytic form. They also facilitate downstream calculations for rate forecasting, formation channel comparison, and stochastic background estimation.
展开 ▾创新在于不预设幂律等函数形式,通过对 200 次后验抽取逐条拟合传播不确定性;灵活 B 样条模型中低红移斜率恢复为 γ0≈3.2,并发现 q–χeff 与 z–χeff 相关主要由分布宽度变化而非均值移动驱动。
本研究承接 Wong+ 2022 提出的用符号回归自动发现引力波群体模型可解释表达式的思路,将其扩展到 GWTC-4 的四个群体关系,并通过对 200 个后验抽取逐条拟合以传播不确定性。低红移并合率演化的无假设斜率恢复与 Fishbach+ 2018 等参数化研究互补,其 γ0≈3.2 高于 Madau+ 2014 的宇宙恒星形成率斜率,指向短时延并合通道。与既往依赖样条或非参数后验的模式相比,解析代理给出精确导数和统一形态诊断,使灵活模型与刚性模型可在同一框架下比较。随着 BBH 目录继续增长,这类符号回归可重复应用于新发布后验,追踪哪些唯象定律稳定收窄;可微代理也可能成为速率预测、形成通道对比和随机背景估计的标准下游接口。
预印本 2026-04-22 · 接收 2026-07-08 · 刊出 2026-08-07 · 收录 2026-08-20