Brightenings AnD Polarity Inversion Tracking (BADPIT) Method for Studying Solar Active Region Evolution Before Major Solar Flares
用于研究太阳活动区在大耀斑前演化的增亮与极性反转线追踪(BADPIT)方法
This study investigates the relationship between extreme ultraviolet (EUV) transient brightenings (TBs) and the onset of GOES X-class solar flares in active regions (ARs). We introduce the Brightenings AnD Polarity Inversion Tracking (BADPIT) method that can detect TBs across multiple SDO/AIA channels. To identify TBs, we impose two independent thresholds: a 3-<inline-formula><mml:math><mml:mi>σ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> intensity-based criterion and a power law divergence approach. We demonstrate the application of BADPIT through a flaring and a non-flaring AR for 24 hours as a pathfinder to a comprehensive statistical study for a complete performance verification: the studied ARs are the non-flaring AR 13186 and the flaring AR 11429, both sharing a similar Hale sunspot classification. Preliminary results are encouraging: significantly more TBs are detected in the flaring AR, with up to five times more 3-<inline-formula><mml:math><mml:mi>σ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> thresholded TBs identified, while power law thresholded events were frequent only in the flaring AR and mostly absent in the non-flaring AR. In the two ARs that we studied both the power law threshold method and the 3-<inline-formula><mml:math><mml:mi>σ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> method show a potential to act as diagnostic tools for distinguishing between imminent flaring and non-flaring conditions several hours before the onset of major solar flares. However, our work is a proof-of-concept study, given the limited number of ARs we studied; its reliability as a forecasting tool will be investigated in a follow-up study in which a large sample of ARs will be analysed.
展开 ▾提出新颖的AIA图像去饱和算法与双阈值(3-σ和幂律)增亮检测方法;首次在24小时连续窗口中量化TBs演化,揭示幂律阈值TBs在耀发活动区中的显著增强,为耀斑前兆识别提供新途径。
耀斑前EUV瞬现增亮(TBs)常被视为磁重联的观测特征,其在强梯度极性反转线(PIL)附近的聚集行为引起了广泛关注(Chifor+ 2007)。近期 Dissauer+ 2025 发现耀前TBs在未来耀斑位置的强梯度PIL处形成大团簇,但其分析限于2小时间隔。本文提出的BADPIT方法将追踪窗口扩展至24小时,采用基于PIL的掩模(Schrijver 2007)界定PIA区域,并通过3-σ与幂律双阈值检测TBs,发现幂律阈值事件仅在耀发活动区出现,且数目相差约五倍,展示了较好的区分潜力。未来需在更大样本中验证该方法作为耀斑预报工具的有效性,并解决AIA仪器灵敏度衰减对幂律阈值设定的影响,同时可结合多通道观测进一步提升前兆识别能力。
预印本 2026-04-28 · 接收 2026-06-19 · 刊出 2026-07-15 · 收录 2026-07-22