Polarization of GRB standard X-ray afterglow and its detection prospects by eXTP
GRB 标准 X 射线余辉的偏振及其 eXTP 探测前景
The polarization signatures of Gamma-ray Burst (GRB) afterglows serve as a powerful diagnostic tool for studying their environments and jet physics. This work systematically investigates the X-ray (2--8~keV) polarization properties of standard GRB afterglows and assesses their detectability with the Polarimetry Focusing Array aboard the enhanced X-ray Timing and Polarimetry (eXTP) satellite. A Morris global sensitivity analysis is first conducted to identify the dominant parameters, which are then assigned observationally motivated probability distributions. In particular, the isotropic energy, half-opening angle, and initial Lorentz factor are sampled jointly via a Gaussian copula to reproduce the empirical Ghirlanda and Liang correlations. Monte Carlo simulations of $10^{3}$ afterglows are performed and validated against the observed 10~keV flux distributions of a selected Fermi--Swift sample (K--S $p = 0.29$ at $10^{3}~\mathrm{s}$ and $p = 0.18$ at $10^{4}~\mathrm{s}$). The simulations yield an overall polarization event rate of $\lesssim 1.5\%$ for standard GRB X-ray afterglows with eXTP/PFA, reflecting the intrinsically low polarization produced by a random magnetic field confined to the shock plane. The optimal detection window occurs near the jet break at late times, when the PD peaks. For exceptionally luminous events such as GRB~221009A, however, the PD remains above the MDP over the full interval $10^{3}$--$10^{6}~\mathrm{s}$, demonstrating that eXTP/PFA can capture nearly the entire polarization evolution for such rare, bright bursts.
展开 ▾首次对标准外激波 GRB X 射线余辉偏振进行 Morris 全局灵敏度分析,并用观测约束的蒙特卡洛模拟给出 eXTP/PFA 的可探测事件率;明确普通暴探测率低、超亮暴可完整追踪偏振演化。
早期理论工作已指出,随机激波磁场产生的偏振较低,而有序大尺度磁场或反向激波能够显著提高偏振;功率律分层介质和等到达时间面效应进一步使标准余辉的偏振随时间和视角复杂演化(Yi+ 2013、Lan+ 2023)。以往对 GRB X 射线偏振的研究多集中于单参数讨论或特定成分(耀发、平台),缺乏面向 eXTP/PFA 的全参数统计评估(Wu+ 2026)。本文以 Morris 灵敏度分析保留 8 个主导参数,并用 Ghirlanda+ 2004 与 Liang+ 2010 的经验关系以及 Ryan+ 2015 的视向角约束构建蒙特卡洛样本,结果与 Swift/Fermi 10 keV 流量分布相符。预测显示标准外激波 X 射线余辉的 eXTP/PFA 偏振事件率不超过约 1.5%,最佳窗口在晚期喷流拐折附近,表明普通标准余辉难以单独作为常规偏振探针。未来若将标准谱段与耀发、平台等额外成分的偏振预言结合,eXTP/PFA 有望成为系统诊断 GRB 喷流结构与中心引擎的重要工具。
预印本 2026-08-16 · 收录 2026-08-20