Submillimeter Detectability of Gravitational-wave Counterparts from Neutron Star Mergers with the Xue-shan-mu-chang 15-meter Submillimeter Telescope
用雪山牧场15米亚毫米波望远镜探测中子星并合引力波对应体的亚毫米可探测性
Submillimeter follow-up of binary neutron star (BNS) mergers provides unique constraints on the early-time energetics and environments of relativistic outflows, capturing the spectral evolution at epochs where centimeter-band emission is often still optically thick or yet to peak. However, the practical scientific yield depends on instrument-specific thresholds, the observing cadence, and the distinct temporal contributions from isotropic ejecta versus beamed relativistic jets. With the upcoming Xue-shan-mu-chang 15-meter Submillimeter Telescope, facility-specific forecasts are needed to test for sustained engine energy injection, as expected for a long-lived magnetar remnant rather than a promptly formed black hole. We present a unified numerical framework that couples engine-driven ejecta dynamics to nonthermal synchrotron emission, accounting for synchrotron self-absorption and deep Newtonian effects. Adopting fixed 5σ (1 hr) point-source thresholds of 1.5/2.9/10.2 mJy at 230/345/460 GHz, we construct parameter-space detectability maps and estimate event rates based on current BNS merger-rate priors. For a fiducial local event at 40 Mpc, we find that a magnetar-boosted ejecta afterglow peaks on timescales of weeks to months and remains detectable long enough to allow delayed follow-up, with an expected all-sky rate of <inline-formula> <mml:math><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>̇</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mover></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>ej</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.05</mml:mn></mml:math> </inline-formula>--1.7 yr<SUP>-1</SUP> at 230 GHz for f<SUB>mag</SUB> = 1; this rate is an upper limit and scales linearly with the long-lived magnetar fraction. Conversely, while relativistic jets produce intense early-time signals, their detection is constrained by narrow beaming and fleeting visibility. These results motivate a two-tier target-of-opportunity strategy: rapid-response visits to capture early jet emission, and sparse long-baseline monitoring optimized for the persistent ejecta afterglow. Our framework provides a quantitative basis for prioritizing gravitational-wave triggers and maximizing the scientific yield of XSMT in the multimessenger era.
展开 ▾首次为XSMT提供设施特定的亚毫米可探测性图和事件率估计;发现磁星增强抛射物余辉可持续数周至数月,适合延迟跟进,而相对论喷流早期信号受窄束流和短时可见性限制。
双中子星并合余辉的多波段研究多集中在厘米波段,亚毫米窗口可更早捕捉峰值辐射,但缺乏针对具体设施的预测。本文在引擎驱动抛射物与非热同步辐射模型的既有框架上,结合XSMT在230/345/460 GHz的5σ阈值,对磁星增强抛射物和相对论喷流的可探测性进行参数空间扫描。结果表明持续抛射物余辉是更稳健的亚毫米目标,而喷流信号更适合快速响应观测,由此提出双层ToO策略。未来随着引力波定位精度提高和并合事件样本积累,这类框架可进一步结合真实光学对应体先验与调度优化,推动亚毫米瞬变天文学发展。
接收 2026-08-01 · 刊出 2026-08-26 · 收录 2026-08-31